We room tracking which counties flipped native Democrat to Republican — and vice versa. These outcomes will be updated as returns come in.

You are watching: Did trump win the state of michigan



Taking Biden at face value about Michigan and also Wisconsin — where, for what it's precious (not that much), the exit poll data looks pretty an excellent for him and also he come in with a far-ranging polling lead — here's where the map goes: If Biden wins those two, plus Maine, Nevada and Arizona, yet nothing else, he's at 269 electoral votes. Which means he's a Nebraska-02 (where he's currently leading) far from hitting 270 top top the number, there is no Pennsylvania and Maine's 2nd District.



One point to save in mind as we've checked out Biden's polling numbers vanish in states favor Florida and North Carolina: His leads were much larger in Michigan and Wisconsin, and also a bit bigger in Pennsylvania. Therefore he has actually a tiny cushion there to work with.



Alex's resources are most likely right, and also it's going to be a long wait. Currently that California is in Biden's column, he's at 209 electoral votes, to Trump's 119. Let's i think Florida, north Carolina, Ohio and Texas space going to Trump. Offer him Hawaii, Biden needs to discover 58 electoral votes what — some combination of Minnesota (10), Arizona (11), Michigan (16), Wisconsin (10), Pennsylvania (20), Iowa (6), Nevada (6), Maine (3), ME-02 (1), NE-02 (1), Georgia (16). He can lose Georgia, however then he demands to win whatever ELSE if he also lost Pennsylvania.


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For example, Holly, one example from Jen O’Malley Dillon, Biden’s campaign manager, that implied they were still counting on Pa might be viewed in this quote. “If we just win one state in between North Carolina and also Georgia, then we could lose Michigan and also Florida and also still gain over 270 electoral votes.”


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Telling tweet from choice law professional Rick Hasen: "Biggest surprised of the choice watch for me for this reason far: Florida's election administration doesn't make my peak 3 of areas I'm concerned about. (PA, GA, MI)" 


Happy choice Day! No surprise, I'm city hall the fight for Senate control. Republicans get in the night through a 53-47 majority. There room a huge variety of potentially competitive races. The likeliest flip for Republicans is Alabama. The likeliest flips for Democrats are Colorado and also Arizona, complied with by tight gyeongju in Maine, north Carolina and Iowa. If Democrats have the right to flip 2 of those three, they'll most likely win earlier the majority six years after losing it. There are likewise races in Montana, south Carolina, Kansas, Alaska and Texas that can flip if democracy are having a REALLY good night. And if republic are having actually a really strong night, Michigan is their next best opportunity. The possibilities space a little dizzying.

But one point to keep a close eye on: Georgia. Two races in that state, and also one is almost details to head to a January 5 runoff, if the various other is going to be very close and could potentially likewise go to a runoff. Therefore the bulk could be winner tonight. Or... It might be won in January.


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By Allan James Vestal, Andrew Briz, Annette Choi, Beatrice Jin, Andrew McGill and Lily Mihalik.

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Election results detailed by the associated Press. Added data indigenous U.S. Census Bureau, MIT choice Lab and gendergeek.org reporting.